Each forecast blends price momentum, realised volatility, sector and market flow, earnings-estimate revisions and news sentiment. The inputs are listed per ticker in the "Why this forecast" panel.
We project a central path plus an 80% range that widens with the horizon. The range is the product; the central line is just its midpoint.
A rough guide derived from recent volatility and how strongly the drivers agree. It is not the probability of being right.
We track how often realised prices land inside the stated 80% range at 7, 30 and 90 days. Well-calibrated ranges land near 80%. We report misses as prominently as hits.
Models cannot anticipate shocks, regime changes or news that has not happened yet. Crypto and small caps are inherently less predictable. Backtests are hypothetical and prepared with hindsight.
Forecasts are model-generated estimates, not financial advice or guarantees. Investing involves risk, including loss of capital. Past performance — actual or simulated — does not predict future results.